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Copa Sudamericana · Knockout round

Racing Club vs Talleres

Kickoff: Thu 2 Jul, 20:00

Venue: Racing Club Stadium, Copa Sudamericana

Weather/stadium note: Clear skies, 21°C

Referee: Wilton Sampaio (Brazil)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Racing Club

40%

59%

Draw

26%

73%

Talleres

33%

66%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Racing Club at 40% confidence.

AI explanation: Racing Club to win: Racing Club averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded recently (home boost applied); Talleres averages 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home; head-to-head history (3 matches) was blended in.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Racing ClubRecent form (last 8/8)Talleres
3-3-2Record (W-D-L)3-2-3
1.3Goals scored / match1
1.5Goals conceded / match1
7.1Corners for / match7.1
6Corners against / match7.8
10.8Shots / match12.6
4.6Shots on target / match5.3
11.3Fouls committed / match13.1
3.6Yellow cards / match1.6
2Clean sheets2
60%BTTS rate60%

Home / Away Form Split

Racing Club (home)Recent form (last 5/7)Talleres (away)
3-1-1Record (W-D-L)3-1-3
1.4Goals scored / match1
1.2Goals conceded / match1.1
8Corners for / match7.9
6.8Corners against / match7.3
12.4Shots / match11.3
3.8Shots on target / match4.4
11.4Fouls committed / match12.6
3.2Yellow cards / match2.6
2Clean sheets2
60%BTTS rate40%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

3

Racing Club wins

2

Draws

1

Talleres wins

0

Avg total goals

2.7

BTTS rate

67%

Key Player Impact

  • O. Silva (FW, Racing Club)
  • K. Hassan (FW, Racing Club)
  • L. Lopez (FW, Racing Club)
  • K. Owusu (FW, Talleres)
  • D. Garcia (MF, Talleres)
  • K. Silva (FW, Talleres)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • K. FernandezHamstring strain
  • O. OwusuMuscle fatigue

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

96

Avg yellow cards

4.4

Avg red cards

0.08

Avg fouls/match

24.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: 2.08+0.2% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.61 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: 1.71

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.61.

bttsMedium risk
Yes58%
58%
Bookmaker odds: 1.90+5.5% edge

Racing Club scores in 75% of comparable matchups and Talleres in 71%, blended with a 70% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 13.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 14.0, just below the 13.5 line.

team_cornersMedium risk
Racing Club Over 6.560%
60%
Bookmaker odds: —

Racing Club wins 7.1 corners per match on average against teams conceding 7.8.

total_shotsMedium risk
Over 22.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Racing Club (10.8/match) and Talleres (12.6/match) combine for a projected 23.4 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 9.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 9.9 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsMedium risk
Over 23.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 24.4 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsMedium risk
Over 6.540%
60%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 6.5 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.4 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
O. Silva Over 2.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

O. Silva averages 3.0 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.

player_shotsMedium risk
K. Owusu Over 2.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu averages 2.6 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
O. Silva Over 1.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

O. Silva commits 2.2 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
K. Owusu Over 0.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu commits 1.4 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskHigh risk
O. Silva booked44%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

O. Silva has been booked in 57% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
K. Owusu booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, PunterPro, BetEdge) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.