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CONCACAF Champions Cup · Knockout round

LAFC vs Club America

Kickoff: Fri 10 Jul, 19:00

Venue: LAFC Stadium, Major League Soccer

Weather/stadium note: Light rain, 17°C, wind 14km/h

Referee: Abdulrahman Al-Jassim (Qatar)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

LAFC

39%

60%

Draw

26%

73%

Club America

34%

65%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: LAFC at 39% confidence.

AI explanation: LAFC to win: LAFC averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded recently (home boost applied); Club America averages 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home; head-to-head history (2 matches) was blended in.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

LAFCRecent form (last 8/5)Club America
0-3-5Record (W-D-L)2-2-1
1Goals scored / match2.2
1.9Goals conceded / match2
7.8Corners for / match4.6
9Corners against / match0.8
13.9Shots / match9
5.8Shots on target / match2.6
9.8Fouls committed / match2.6
2.1Yellow cards / match0.4
1Clean sheets0
80%BTTS rate80%

Home / Away Form Split

LAFC (home)Recent form (last 7/2)Club America (away)
2-2-3Record (W-D-L)1-1-0
1.3Goals scored / match3
1.4Goals conceded / match2.5
6Corners for / match8
8.4Corners against / match1.5
9.7Shots / match11
4.3Shots on target / match3
12.3Fouls committed / match2.5
2.4Yellow cards / match0.5
1Clean sheets0
90%BTTS rate100%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

2

LAFC wins

0

Draws

2

Club America wins

0

Avg total goals

1

BTTS rate

50%

Key Player Impact

  • B. Nakamura (FW, LAFC)
  • Y. Rossi (FW, LAFC)
  • T. Costa (MF, Club America)
  • S. Johnson (MF, Club America)
  • D. Nakamura (FW, Club America)
  • M. Tanaka (MF, LAFC)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • S. AlmeidaAnkle knock
  • O. SilvaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • H. MensahSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • S. FernandezSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • Y. MullerHamstring strain

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

170

Avg yellow cards

4.2

Avg red cards

0.13

Avg fouls/match

20.9

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 549%
51%
Bookmaker odds: 1.83

Combined expected goals of 2.63 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 551%
51%
Bookmaker odds: 1.67

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.63.

bttsHigh risk
Yes52%
52%
Bookmaker odds: 1.65

LAFC scores in 75% of comparable matchups and Club America in 72%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 14.556%
55%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 15.3, just above the 14.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
LAFC Over 6.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

LAFC wins 7.8 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.6.

total_shotsMedium risk
Over 25.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

LAFC (13.9/match) and Club America (12.5/match) combine for a projected 26.4 shots.

shots_on_targetMedium risk
Over 9.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 10.4 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 21.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 21.8 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 4.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 4.8 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.2 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsMedium risk
B. Nakamura Over 1.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

B. Nakamura averages 1.5 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_shotsMedium risk
T. Costa Over 1.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

T. Costa averages 2.4 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
B. Nakamura Over 0.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

B. Nakamura commits 1.1 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
T. Costa Over 1.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

T. Costa commits 1.6 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskMedium risk
B. Nakamura booked39%
60%
Bookmaker odds: —

B. Nakamura has been booked in 50% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
T. Costa booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds: —

T. Costa has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (BetEdge, PunterPro, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.