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CONCACAF Champions Cup · Knockout round

Club America vs Cavalier FC

Kickoff: Fri 3 Jul, 20:00

Venue: Club America Stadium, Mexico

Weather/stadium note: Warm, 27°C, humid

Referee: Walter Lopez (Guatemala)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Club America

42%

58%

Draw

23%

76%

Cavalier FC

35%

64%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Club America at 42% confidence.

AI explanation: Club America to win: Club America averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded recently (home boost applied); Cavalier FC averages 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Club AmericaRecent form (last 5/8)Cavalier FC
2-2-1Record (W-D-L)2-2-4
2.2Goals scored / match1.4
2Goals conceded / match1.9
4.6Corners for / match6.4
0.8Corners against / match9.4
9Shots / match12.9
2.6Shots on target / match4.1
2.6Fouls committed / match11.1
0.4Yellow cards / match2.1
0Clean sheets1
80%BTTS rate60%

Home / Away Form Split

Club America (home)Recent form (last 3/8)Cavalier FC (away)
1-1-1Record (W-D-L)4-2-2
1.7Goals scored / match1.6
1.7Goals conceded / match1.4
2.3Corners for / match8.4
0.3Corners against / match8.8
7.7Shots / match13.4
2.3Shots on target / match4.4
2.7Fouls committed / match12.3
0.3Yellow cards / match2.9
0Clean sheets1
70%BTTS rate60%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Club America wins

0

Draws

0

Cavalier FC wins

1

Avg total goals

1

BTTS rate

0%

Key Player Impact

  • T. Costa (MF, Club America)
  • Y. Suzuki (MF, Cavalier FC)
  • M. Almeida (MF, Cavalier FC)
  • F. Suzuki (MF, Cavalier FC)
  • S. Johnson (MF, Club America)
  • D. Nakamura (FW, Club America)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • Y. MullerHamstring strain
  • L. RossiSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • B. KimSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • S. GarciaHamstring strain

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

117

Avg yellow cards

4.1

Avg red cards

0.12

Avg fouls/match

21.3

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 566%
65%
Bookmaker odds: 1.44

Combined expected goals of 3.41 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 534%
65%
Bookmaker odds: 2.76

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.41.

bttsMedium risk
Yes67%
66%
Bookmaker odds: 1.37

Club America scores in 83% of comparable matchups and Cavalier FC in 80%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 14.544%
55%
Bookmaker odds:

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 14.8, just below the 14.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Club America Over 7.556%
55%
Bookmaker odds:

Club America wins 7.1 corners per match on average against teams conceding 9.4.

total_shotsMedium risk
Over 24.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Club America (12.5/match) and Cavalier FC (12.9/match) combine for a projected 25.4 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

Projected combined shots on target of 8.7 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 22.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Combined foul rate of 23.1 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 4.543%
57%
Bookmaker odds:

Team card rates project 4.7 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds:

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsMedium risk
T. Costa Over 1.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

T. Costa averages 2.4 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_shotsMedium risk
Y. Suzuki Over 1.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Suzuki averages 1.5 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_foulsMedium risk
T. Costa Over 1.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

T. Costa commits 1.6 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
Y. Suzuki Over 1.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Suzuki commits 1.6 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
T. Costa booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds:

T. Costa has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
Y. Suzuki booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Suzuki has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, BetEdge, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.