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Major League Soccer · 🇺🇸 United States · League matchday

Inter Miami vs NYCFC

Kickoff: Sun 28 Jun, 12:00

Venue: Inter Miami Stadium, Major League Soccer

Weather/stadium note: Overcast, 15°C

Referee: Michael Oliver (England)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Inter Miami

26%

73%

Draw

28%

71%

NYCFC

46%

54%
High riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: NYCFC at 46% confidence.

AI explanation: NYCFC to win: Inter Miami averages 0.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded recently (home boost applied); NYCFC averages 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Inter MiamiRecent form (last 8/8)NYCFC
0-5-3Record (W-D-L)6-0-2
0.5Goals scored / match2
1.3Goals conceded / match0.6
8Corners for / match7
6.9Corners against / match6.4
12.5Shots / match12.4
4.4Shots on target / match5.4
12.8Fouls committed / match10.9
2.9Yellow cards / match2.9
1Clean sheets5
50%BTTS rate30%

Home / Away Form Split

Inter Miami (home)Recent form (last 2/4)NYCFC (away)
0-1-1Record (W-D-L)0-0-4
0.5Goals scored / match0.3
1.5Goals conceded / match1.8
8.5Corners for / match9
4.5Corners against / match5
8Shots / match8.3
2Shots on target / match3.8
10Fouls committed / match13.3
2.5Yellow cards / match3.8
0Clean sheets0
50%BTTS rate30%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Inter Miami wins

0

Draws

0

NYCFC wins

1

Avg total goals

2

BTTS rate

0%

Key Player Impact

  • P. Owusu (FW, Inter Miami)
  • K. Dubois (FW, NYCFC)
  • A. Diallo (FW, Inter Miami)
  • M. Mensah (FW, NYCFC)
  • K. Suzuki (FW, NYCFC)
  • K. Suzuki (MF, Inter Miami)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • D. HaidaraHamstring strain
  • K. DuboisMuscle fatigue

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

97

Avg yellow cards

4.4

Avg red cards

0.2

Avg fouls/match

22.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 540%
60%
Bookmaker odds: 2.80+4.4% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.29 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 560%
60%
Bookmaker odds: 1.56

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.29.

bttsHigh risk
Yes45%
55%
Bookmaker odds: 2.31+1.8% edge

Inter Miami scores in 61% of comparable matchups and NYCFC in 74%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 13.553%
53%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 14.1, just above the 13.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Inter Miami Over 6.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Inter Miami wins 8.0 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.4.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 24.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Inter Miami (12.5/match) and NYCFC (12.4/match) combine for a projected 24.9 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 9.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 9.8 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 23.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 23.7 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 6.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 7.3 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.4 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
P. Owusu Over 1.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Owusu averages 2.2 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
K. Dubois Over 2.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Dubois averages 3.0 shots per match over the last 8 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
P. Owusu Over 0.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Owusu commits 0.8 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
K. Dubois Over 0.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Dubois commits 0.6 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
P. Owusu booked15%
83%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Owusu has been booked in 17% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
K. Dubois booked31%
68%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Dubois has been booked in 38% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (BetEdge, PunterPro, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.