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Chinese Super League · 🇨🇳 China · League matchday

Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan

Kickoff: Wed 8 Jul, 17:00

Venue: Shanghai Shenhua Stadium, China

Weather/stadium note: Warm, 27°C, humid

Referee: Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Shanghai Shenhua

37%

62%

Draw

27%

72%

Beijing Guoan

35%

64%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Shanghai Shenhua at 37% confidence.

AI explanation: Shanghai Shenhua to win: Shanghai Shenhua averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded recently (home boost applied); Beijing Guoan averages 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home; head-to-head history (2 matches) was blended in.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Shanghai ShenhuaRecent form (last 4/6)Beijing Guoan
2-0-2Record (W-D-L)2-1-3
0.8Goals scored / match1.2
1Goals conceded / match1.3
8.3Corners for / match6.5
5Corners against / match8.3
11Shots / match12.3
4Shots on target / match5
14.3Fouls committed / match13.2
2.3Yellow cards / match3.5
1Clean sheets2
30%BTTS rate50%

Home / Away Form Split

Shanghai Shenhua (home)Recent form (last 3/4)Beijing Guoan (away)
1-0-2Record (W-D-L)2-0-2
0.7Goals scored / match1.8
1.3Goals conceded / match1.8
8Corners for / match8
5.3Corners against / match8
10.7Shots / match12.8
4.3Shots on target / match5
13.3Fouls committed / match14.3
1.7Yellow cards / match3.8
0Clean sheets1
30%BTTS rate80%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

2

Shanghai Shenhua wins

2

Draws

0

Beijing Guoan wins

0

Avg total goals

2

BTTS rate

50%

Key Player Impact

  • D. Diallo (FW, Beijing Guoan)
  • L. Fernandez (FW, Beijing Guoan)
  • C. Haidara (FW, Shanghai Shenhua)
  • H. Almeida (MF, Beijing Guoan)
  • F. Haidara (MF, Shanghai Shenhua)
  • L. Nakamura (MF, Shanghai Shenhua)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • A. DuboisKnee injury (assessment pending)
  • L. ParkHamstring strain
  • M. KimKnee injury (assessment pending)
  • T. OwusuMuscle fatigue
  • M. MullerKnee injury (assessment pending)

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

159

Avg yellow cards

4.6

Avg red cards

0.16

Avg fouls/match

26.4

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 544%
55%
Bookmaker odds: 1.95

Combined expected goals of 2.46 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 556%
55%
Bookmaker odds: 2.13+8.6% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.46.

bttsHigh risk
Yes50%
50%
Bookmaker odds: 2.01+0.3% edge

Shanghai Shenhua scores in 71% of comparable matchups and Beijing Guoan in 70%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 13.551%
51%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 14.1, just above the 13.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Shanghai Shenhua Over 7.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Shanghai Shenhua wins 8.3 corners per match on average against teams conceding 8.3.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 22.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Shanghai Shenhua (11.0/match) and Beijing Guoan (12.3/match) combine for a projected 23.3 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 9.0 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsMedium risk
Over 27.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 27.5 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsMedium risk
Over 7.542%
58%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 7.6 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.6 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsMedium risk
C. Haidara Over 0.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Haidara averages 1.4 shots per match over the last 3 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
D. Diallo Over 3.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

D. Diallo averages 3.8 shots per match over the last 4 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
C. Haidara Over 0.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Haidara commits 0.9 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
D. Diallo Over 0.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

D. Diallo commits 1.2 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
C. Haidara booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Haidara has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
D. Diallo booked63%
63%
Bookmaker odds: —

D. Diallo has been booked in 100% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (BetEdge, OddsHub, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.