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Chinese Super League · 🇨🇳 China · League matchday

Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang FC

Kickoff: Fri 3 Jul, 15:00

Venue: Beijing Guoan Stadium, China

Weather/stadium note: Clear skies, 21°C

Referee: Victor Gomes (South Africa)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Beijing Guoan

32%

67%

Draw

28%

71%

Zhejiang FC

39%

60%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Zhejiang FC at 39% confidence.

AI explanation: Zhejiang FC to win: Beijing Guoan averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded recently (home boost applied); Zhejiang FC averages 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Beijing GuoanRecent form (last 6/7)Zhejiang FC
2-1-3Record (W-D-L)2-3-2
1.2Goals scored / match1.6
1.3Goals conceded / match1.4
6.5Corners for / match7.9
8.3Corners against / match7.7
12.3Shots / match13
5Shots on target / match4.9
13.2Fouls committed / match10.3
3.5Yellow cards / match2.3
2Clean sheets2
50%BTTS rate70%

Home / Away Form Split

Beijing Guoan (home)Recent form (last 2/4)Zhejiang FC (away)
0-1-1Record (W-D-L)1-3-0
0Goals scored / match1.3
0.5Goals conceded / match0.8
3.5Corners for / match7.5
9Corners against / match7.5
11.5Shots / match13.8
5Shots on target / match4.8
11Fouls committed / match9.8
3Yellow cards / match2.5
1Clean sheets2
0%BTTS rate50%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Beijing Guoan wins

1

Draws

0

Zhejiang FC wins

0

Avg total goals

7

BTTS rate

100%

Key Player Impact

  • D. Diallo (FW, Beijing Guoan)
  • L. Fernandez (FW, Beijing Guoan)
  • H. Almeida (MF, Beijing Guoan)
  • K. Park (FW, Zhejiang FC)
  • P. Suzuki (MF, Zhejiang FC)
  • L. Garcia (FW, Zhejiang FC)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • A. DuboisKnee injury (assessment pending)
  • L. ParkHamstring strain
  • M. KimKnee injury (assessment pending)
  • T. OwusuMuscle fatigue
  • P. NakamuraSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • H. SuzukiSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • C. AlmeidaHamstring strain

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

125

Avg yellow cards

4.1

Avg red cards

0.2

Avg fouls/match

23.7

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: 2.78+4.9% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.32 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: 1.81+3.9% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.32.

bttsHigh risk
Yes47%
53%
Bookmaker odds: 2.29+3.3% edge

Beijing Guoan scores in 66% of comparable matchups and Zhejiang FC in 71%, blended with a 100% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 14.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 15.2, just above the 14.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Beijing Guoan Over 6.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Beijing Guoan wins 6.5 corners per match on average against teams conceding 7.7.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 24.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Beijing Guoan (12.3/match) and Zhejiang FC (13.0/match) combine for a projected 25.3 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 9.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 9.9 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsMedium risk
Over 23.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 23.5 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 6.545%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 6.8 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
D. Diallo Over 3.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

D. Diallo averages 3.8 shots per match over the last 4 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
K. Park Over 1.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Park averages 2.3 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
D. Diallo Over 0.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

D. Diallo commits 1.2 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
K. Park Over 0.537%
63%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Park commits 0.4 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskMedium risk
D. Diallo booked63%
63%
Bookmaker odds: —

D. Diallo has been booked in 100% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskHigh risk
K. Park booked44%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Park has been booked in 57% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (BetEdge, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.