Chinese Super League · 🇨🇳 China · League matchday

Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Hainiu

Kickoff: Fri 3 Jul, 15:00

Venue: Shanghai Port Stadium, AFC Champions League

Weather/stadium note: Light rain, 17°C, wind 14km/h

Referee: Daniele Orsato (Italy)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Shanghai Port

28%

71%

Draw

32%

67%

Qingdao Hainiu

39%

60%

Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Qingdao Hainiu at 39% confidence.

AI explanation: Qingdao Hainiu to win: Shanghai Port averages 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded recently (home boost applied); Qingdao Hainiu averages 1.1 scored and 0.5 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Shanghai PortRecent form (last 8/8)Qingdao Hainiu

1-3-4Record (W-D-L)6-1-1

0.5Goals scored / match1.1

0.9Goals conceded / match0.6

6.9Corners for / match6.3

5.8Corners against / match5.5

12.1Shots / match12.1

5.1Shots on target / match4.5

12Fouls committed / match10.3

2.8Yellow cards / match2.8

2Clean sheets4

40%BTTS rate40%

Home / Away Form Split

Shanghai Port (home)Recent form (last 7/5)Qingdao Hainiu (away)

3-1-3Record (W-D-L)4-1-0

1.3Goals scored / match1.2

0.9Goals conceded / match0.4

5.7Corners for / match6.8

5.9Corners against / match3.6

11.1Shots / match13.4

6.1Shots on target / match4.6

12.9Fouls committed / match11.2

2.1Yellow cards / match2.4

2Clean sheets3

40%BTTS rate40%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

Shanghai Port wins

Draws

Qingdao Hainiu wins

Avg total goals

BTTS rate

Key Player Impact

P. Rossi (FW, Qingdao Hainiu)
F. Nakamura (FW, Shanghai Port)
C. Nakamura (MF, Shanghai Port)
K. Owusu (MF, Qingdao Hainiu)
S. Park (MF, Qingdao Hainiu)
A. Tanaka (FW, Qingdao Hainiu)

Injuries / Suspensions

L. LopezKnee injury (assessment pending)
K. SuzukiAnkle knock
D. CostaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
F. GarciaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
O. MullerKnee injury (assessment pending)
F. MullerSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

Avg yellow cards

4.3

Avg red cards

0.14

Avg fouls/match

21.1

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk

Over 2 528%

71%

Bookmaker odds: 3.02

Combined expected goals of 1.84 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsMedium risk

Under 2 572%

71%

Bookmaker odds: 1.38

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 1.84.

bttsMedium risk

Yes36%

64%

Bookmaker odds: 2.86+0.8% edge

Shanghai Port scores in 56% of comparable matchups and Qingdao Hainiu in 64%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk

Over 11.556%

55%

Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 12.3, just above the 11.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk

Shanghai Port Over 5.554%

54%

Bookmaker odds: —

Shanghai Port wins 6.9 corners per match on average against teams conceding 5.5.

total_shotsHigh risk

Over 23.554%

54%

Bookmaker odds: —

Shanghai Port (12.1/match) and Qingdao Hainiu (12.1/match) combine for a projected 24.2 shots.

shots_on_targetMedium risk

Over 9.541%

59%

Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 9.6 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk

Over 21.557%

56%

Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 22.3 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk

Over 6.547%

53%

Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 6.9 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.3 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk

Yes5%

93%

Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsMedium risk

F. Nakamura Over 2.539%

61%

Bookmaker odds: —

F. Nakamura averages 2.5 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk

P. Rossi Over 1.552%

52%

Bookmaker odds: —

P. Rossi averages 2.1 shots per match over the last 8 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk

F. Nakamura Over 0.554%

54%

Bookmaker odds: —

F. Nakamura commits 1.2 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk

P. Rossi Over 1.554%

54%

Bookmaker odds: —

P. Rossi commits 2.2 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskHigh risk

F. Nakamura booked55%

55%

Bookmaker odds: —

F. Nakamura has been booked in 80% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk

P. Rossi booked39%

60%

Bookmaker odds: —

P. Rossi has been booked in 50% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, PunterPro, BetEdge) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.