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K League 1 · 🇰🇷 South Korea · League matchday

FC Seoul vs Ulsan HD

Kickoff: Fri 10 Jul, 17:00

Venue: FC Seoul Stadium, South Korea

Weather/stadium note: Overcast, 15°C

Referee: Michael Oliver (England)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

FC Seoul

43%

57%

Draw

23%

76%

Ulsan HD

35%

65%
High riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: FC Seoul at 43% confidence.

AI explanation: FC Seoul to win: FC Seoul averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded recently (home boost applied); Ulsan HD averages 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home; head-to-head history (2 matches) was blended in.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

FC SeoulRecent form (last 8/8)Ulsan HD
2-0-6Record (W-D-L)4-1-3
1.3Goals scored / match1.6
1.9Goals conceded / match1.8
6.1Corners for / match6.6
6.8Corners against / match8.1
15Shots / match11.8
5.4Shots on target / match5.1
12Fouls committed / match13.4
2Yellow cards / match1.9
1Clean sheets2
50%BTTS rate40%

Home / Away Form Split

FC Seoul (home)Recent form (last 6/6)Ulsan HD (away)
3-0-3Record (W-D-L)3-1-2
1.2Goals scored / match1.3
0.8Goals conceded / match1.8
6.2Corners for / match6.8
8.2Corners against / match9.5
12Shots / match9.7
6Shots on target / match5.5
9.7Fouls committed / match14.7
3Yellow cards / match2.7
2Clean sheets1
30%BTTS rate50%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

2

FC Seoul wins

1

Draws

0

Ulsan HD wins

1

Avg total goals

4

BTTS rate

50%

Key Player Impact

  • K. Hassan (FW, FC Seoul)
  • K. Silva (FW, FC Seoul)
  • M. Suzuki (FW, Ulsan HD)
  • S. Silva (MF, Ulsan HD)
  • B. Muller (MF, Ulsan HD)
  • H. Costa (MF, Ulsan HD)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • M. DuboisKnee injury (assessment pending)
  • F. DialloHamstring strain
  • S. KimAnkle knock
  • T. NakamuraAnkle knock
  • M. TanakaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

97

Avg yellow cards

4.4

Avg red cards

0.2

Avg fouls/match

22.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 566%
65%
Bookmaker odds: 1.66+5.4% edge

Combined expected goals of 3.40 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 534%
65%
Bookmaker odds: 3.54+6.1% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.40.

bttsMedium risk
Yes62%
61%
Bookmaker odds: 1.81+6.4% edge

FC Seoul scores in 83% of comparable matchups and Ulsan HD in 80%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 13.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.8, just below the 13.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
FC Seoul Over 6.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

FC Seoul wins 6.1 corners per match on average against teams conceding 8.1.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 26.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

FC Seoul (15.0/match) and Ulsan HD (11.8/match) combine for a projected 26.8 shots.

shots_on_targetMedium risk
Over 10.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 10.5 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsMedium risk
Over 24.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 25.4 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 4.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 4.9 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.4 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
K. Hassan Over 1.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Hassan averages 2.0 shots per match over the last 3 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
M. Suzuki Over 1.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Suzuki averages 1.7 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
K. Hassan Over 0.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Hassan commits 1.3 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
M. Suzuki Over 0.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Suzuki commits 1.3 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskHigh risk
K. Hassan booked49%
51%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Hassan has been booked in 67% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskHigh risk
M. Suzuki booked55%
55%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Suzuki has been booked in 80% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.