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K League 1 · 🇰🇷 South Korea · League matchday

Pohang Steelers vs Incheon United

Kickoff: Tue 7 Jul, 15:00

Venue: Pohang Steelers Stadium, South Korea

Weather/stadium note: Overcast, 15°C

Referee: Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Pohang Steelers

40%

59%

Draw

27%

72%

Incheon United

32%

67%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Pohang Steelers at 40% confidence.

AI explanation: Pohang Steelers to win: Pohang Steelers averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded recently (home boost applied); Incheon United averages 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Pohang SteelersRecent form (last 8/8)Incheon United
3-3-2Record (W-D-L)4-3-1
1.5Goals scored / match1.1
1Goals conceded / match0.6
5.3Corners for / match6.9
7.6Corners against / match6.8
15.3Shots / match14.4
4.1Shots on target / match4.8
12.3Fouls committed / match13.6
1.5Yellow cards / match2.4
1Clean sheets5
80%BTTS rate30%

Home / Away Form Split

Pohang Steelers (home)Recent form (last 5/4)Incheon United (away)
2-1-2Record (W-D-L)2-1-1
1.6Goals scored / match1.3
1.2Goals conceded / match1
5.6Corners for / match5.5
7.8Corners against / match6.8
16.4Shots / match13.5
4Shots on target / match4.3
11.8Fouls committed / match16
1.4Yellow cards / match3.3
0Clean sheets2
80%BTTS rate30%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Pohang Steelers wins

0

Draws

1

Incheon United wins

0

Avg total goals

0

BTTS rate

0%

Key Player Impact

  • B. Fernandez (FW, Pohang Steelers)
  • C. Rossi (FW, Incheon United)
  • O. Lopez (FW, Incheon United)
  • M. Rossi (FW, Incheon United)
  • M. Tanaka (MF, Pohang Steelers)
  • K. Owusu (MF, Incheon United)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • Y. SilvaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • S. DuboisSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • M. SuzukiAnkle knock
  • T. SuzukiAnkle knock

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

159

Avg yellow cards

4.6

Avg red cards

0.16

Avg fouls/match

26.4

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 544%
56%
Bookmaker odds: 2.56+4.7% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.43 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 556%
56%
Bookmaker odds: 1.70

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.43.

bttsHigh risk
Yes49%
51%
Bookmaker odds: 2.36+6.9% edge

Pohang Steelers scores in 73% of comparable matchups and Incheon United in 68%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 12.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.3, just above the 12.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Pohang Steelers Over 5.551%
51%
Bookmaker odds: —

Pohang Steelers wins 5.3 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.8.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 29.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Pohang Steelers (15.3/match) and Incheon United (14.4/match) combine for a projected 29.7 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 8.9 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 25.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 25.9 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 4.553%
53%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 5.1 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.6 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes10%
89%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
B. Fernandez Over 0.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

B. Fernandez averages 0.7 shots per match over the last 3 appearances.

player_shotsMedium risk
C. Rossi Over 2.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Rossi averages 3.4 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.

player_foulsMedium risk
B. Fernandez Over 0.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

B. Fernandez commits 0.5 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
C. Rossi Over 0.537%
63%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Rossi commits 0.4 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
B. Fernandez booked74%
73%
Bookmaker odds: —

B. Fernandez has been booked in 133% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
C. Rossi booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Rossi has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, BetEdge) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.