← Back to matches

K League 1 · 🇰🇷 South Korea · League matchday

Ulsan HD vs Gangwon FC

Kickoff: Mon 29 Jun, 12:00

Venue: Ulsan HD Stadium, AFC Champions League

Weather/stadium note: Windy, 12°C

Referee: Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Ulsan HD

49%

51%

Draw

24%

75%

Gangwon FC

27%

72%
High riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Ulsan HD at 49% confidence.

AI explanation: Ulsan HD to win: Ulsan HD averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded recently (home boost applied); Gangwon FC averages 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Ulsan HDRecent form (last 8/8)Gangwon FC
4-1-3Record (W-D-L)2-2-4
1.6Goals scored / match1
1.8Goals conceded / match1.4
6.6Corners for / match6.5
8.1Corners against / match6.1
11.8Shots / match11.1
5.1Shots on target / match5.6
13.4Fouls committed / match12.4
1.9Yellow cards / match2
2Clean sheets3
40%BTTS rate50%

Home / Away Form Split

Ulsan HD (home)Recent form (last 8/3)Gangwon FC (away)
5-1-2Record (W-D-L)0-2-1
2Goals scored / match1
0.9Goals conceded / match1.3
4.8Corners for / match8.3
6.3Corners against / match6
12.1Shots / match11.3
5.9Shots on target / match5.3
13Fouls committed / match16
1.5Yellow cards / match1.7
3Clean sheets1
40%BTTS rate70%

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings recorded in the dataset.

Key Player Impact

  • M. Suzuki (FW, Ulsan HD)
  • S. Diallo (FW, Gangwon FC)
  • S. Silva (MF, Ulsan HD)
  • B. Muller (MF, Ulsan HD)
  • H. Costa (MF, Ulsan HD)
  • T. Garcia (MF, Ulsan HD)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • M. DuboisKnee injury (assessment pending)
  • F. DialloHamstring strain
  • S. KimAnkle knock
  • K. OwusuAnkle knock
  • B. SuzukiHamstring strain

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

159

Avg yellow cards

4.6

Avg red cards

0.16

Avg fouls/match

26.4

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 556%
56%
Bookmaker odds: 1.86+2.1% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.93 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 544%
56%
Bookmaker odds: 2.28+0.3% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.93.

bttsHigh risk
Yes58%
57%
Bookmaker odds: 1.89+4.8% edge

Ulsan HD scores in 82% of comparable matchups and Gangwon FC in 70%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 13.542%
57%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.6, just below the 13.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Ulsan HD Over 5.558%
57%
Bookmaker odds: —

Ulsan HD wins 6.6 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.1.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 22.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Ulsan HD (11.8/match) and Gangwon FC (11.1/match) combine for a projected 22.9 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 10.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 10.7 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 25.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 25.8 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 4.553%
53%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 5.1 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.6 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
M. Suzuki Over 1.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Suzuki averages 1.7 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
S. Diallo Over 2.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

S. Diallo averages 3.1 shots per match over the last 8 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
M. Suzuki Over 0.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Suzuki commits 1.3 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
S. Diallo Over 1.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

S. Diallo commits 2.2 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskHigh risk
M. Suzuki booked55%
55%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Suzuki has been booked in 80% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
S. Diallo booked22%
77%
Bookmaker odds: —

S. Diallo has been booked in 25% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, BetEdge, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.