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J1 League · 🇯🇵 Japan · League matchday

Urawa Reds vs Kawasaki Frontale

Kickoff: Mon 6 Jul, 17:00

Venue: Urawa Reds Stadium, AFC Champions League

Weather/stadium note: Light rain, 17°C, wind 14km/h

Referee: Mustapha Ghorbal (Algeria)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Urawa Reds

21%

78%

Draw

25%

74%

Kawasaki Frontale

54%

54%
High riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Kawasaki Frontale at 54% confidence.

AI explanation: Kawasaki Frontale to win: Urawa Reds averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded recently (home boost applied); Kawasaki Frontale averages 1.1 scored and 0.4 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Urawa RedsRecent form (last 8/6)Kawasaki Frontale
0-3-5Record (W-D-L)4-1-1
0.9Goals scored / match1.2
2.3Goals conceded / match0.7
7.1Corners for / match5.7
6.6Corners against / match7.2
14.9Shots / match13.2
4.5Shots on target / match4.8
12.4Fouls committed / match13.7
3.1Yellow cards / match2
1Clean sheets4
50%BTTS rate20%

Home / Away Form Split

Urawa Reds (home)Recent form (last 7/1)Kawasaki Frontale (away)
2-2-3Record (W-D-L)1-0-0
1.4Goals scored / match1
1.9Goals conceded / match0
7.1Corners for / match2
6.9Corners against / match11
12Shots / match12
4.4Shots on target / match5
14.3Fouls committed / match18
3.1Yellow cards / match0
1Clean sheets1
60%BTTS rate0%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Urawa Reds wins

0

Draws

0

Kawasaki Frontale wins

1

Avg total goals

3

BTTS rate

0%

Key Player Impact

  • Y. Kim (FW, Kawasaki Frontale)
  • K. Muller (FW, Urawa Reds)
  • S. Almeida (MF, Urawa Reds)
  • F. Owusu (MF, Urawa Reds)
  • M. Haidara (MF, Kawasaki Frontale)
  • D. Garcia (FW, Kawasaki Frontale)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • A. HaidaraAnkle knock
  • B. OwusuAnkle knock
  • O. RossiAnkle knock
  • L. MullerSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

168

Avg yellow cards

4.4

Avg red cards

0.19

Avg fouls/match

22.7

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 546%
53%
Bookmaker odds: 1.82

Combined expected goals of 2.54 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 554%
53%
Bookmaker odds: 2.10+5.9% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.54.

bttsHigh risk
Yes48%
52%
Bookmaker odds: 2.20+2.6% edge

Urawa Reds scores in 60% of comparable matchups and Kawasaki Frontale in 80%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 12.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.3, just above the 12.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Urawa Reds Over 6.553%
53%
Bookmaker odds:

Urawa Reds wins 7.1 corners per match on average against teams conceding 7.2.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 27.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Urawa Reds (14.9/match) and Kawasaki Frontale (13.2/match) combine for a projected 28.1 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

Projected combined shots on target of 9.3 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 25.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Combined foul rate of 26.1 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsMedium risk
Over 5.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Team card rates project 6.4 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.4 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds:

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
K. Muller Over 2.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller averages 3.2 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_shotsMedium risk
Y. Kim Over 2.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Kim averages 3.4 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
K. Muller Over 0.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller commits 1.2 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
Y. Kim Over 1.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Kim commits 2.1 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
K. Muller booked15%
83%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller has been booked in 17% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
Y. Kim booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Kim has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, BetEdge, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.