← Back to matches

J1 League · 🇯🇵 Japan · League matchday

Vissel Kobe vs Kawasaki Frontale

Kickoff: Wed 1 Jul, 19:00

Venue: Vissel Kobe Stadium, AFC Champions League

Weather/stadium note: Warm, 27°C, humid

Referee: Wilton Sampaio (Brazil)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Vissel Kobe

37%

63%

Draw

32%

68%

Kawasaki Frontale

32%

68%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Vissel Kobe at 37% confidence.

AI explanation: Vissel Kobe to win: Vissel Kobe averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded recently (home boost applied); Kawasaki Frontale averages 1.1 scored and 0.4 conceded away from home; head-to-head history (2 matches) was blended in.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Vissel KobeRecent form (last 8/6)Kawasaki Frontale
5-2-1Record (W-D-L)4-1-1
1.5Goals scored / match1.2
0.6Goals conceded / match0.7
6.9Corners for / match5.7
7.5Corners against / match7.2
13.3Shots / match13.2
4.5Shots on target / match4.8
12.8Fouls committed / match13.7
3.3Yellow cards / match2
4Clean sheets4
40%BTTS rate20%

Home / Away Form Split

Vissel Kobe (home)Recent form (last 6/1)Kawasaki Frontale (away)
2-2-2Record (W-D-L)1-0-0
0.7Goals scored / match1
0.7Goals conceded / match0
5.2Corners for / match2
7.7Corners against / match11
12.2Shots / match12
4.7Shots on target / match5
13.5Fouls committed / match18
2.7Yellow cards / match0
3Clean sheets1
30%BTTS rate0%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

2

Vissel Kobe wins

1

Draws

0

Kawasaki Frontale wins

1

Avg total goals

2

BTTS rate

0%

Key Player Impact

  • K. Nakamura (FW, Vissel Kobe)
  • S. Nakamura (FW, Vissel Kobe)
  • L. Lopez (FW, Vissel Kobe)
  • Y. Kim (FW, Kawasaki Frontale)
  • M. Johnson (MF, Vissel Kobe)
  • K. Diallo (MF, Vissel Kobe)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • S. ParkHamstring strain
  • F. TanakaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • L. MullerSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

96

Avg yellow cards

4.4

Avg red cards

0.08

Avg fouls/match

24.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 530%
69%
Bookmaker odds: 3.08

Combined expected goals of 1.91 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 570%
69%
Bookmaker odds: 1.48+2.5% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 1.91.

bttsLow risk
Yes26%
73%
Bookmaker odds: 4.48+4.1% edge

Vissel Kobe scores in 63% of comparable matchups and Kawasaki Frontale in 60%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 13.542%
57%
Bookmaker odds:

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.7, just below the 13.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Vissel Kobe Over 6.551%
51%
Bookmaker odds:

Vissel Kobe wins 6.9 corners per match on average against teams conceding 7.2.

total_shotsMedium risk
Over 26.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

Vissel Kobe (13.3/match) and Kawasaki Frontale (13.2/match) combine for a projected 26.5 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

Projected combined shots on target of 9.3 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsMedium risk
Over 26.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

Combined foul rate of 26.5 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 6.542%
57%
Bookmaker odds:

Team card rates project 6.7 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.4 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds:

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
K. Nakamura Over 0.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Nakamura averages 1.1 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_shotsMedium risk
Y. Kim Over 2.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Kim averages 3.4 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
K. Nakamura Over 1.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Nakamura commits 1.7 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
Y. Kim Over 1.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Kim commits 2.1 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskMedium risk
K. Nakamura booked33%
66%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Nakamura has been booked in 40% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
Y. Kim booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds:

Y. Kim has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, BetEdge, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.