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Saudi Pro League · 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia · League matchday

Al Ittihad vs Al Taawoun

Kickoff: Wed 8 Jul, 20:00

Venue: Al Ittihad Stadium, AFC Champions League

Weather/stadium note: Warm, 27°C, humid

Referee: Walter Lopez (Guatemala)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Al Ittihad

53%

53%

Draw

25%

74%

Al Taawoun

22%

77%
High riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Al Ittihad at 53% confidence.

AI explanation: Al Ittihad to win: Al Ittihad averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded recently (home boost applied); Al Taawoun averages 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Al IttihadRecent form (last 8/8)Al Taawoun
5-1-2Record (W-D-L)2-1-5
1.3Goals scored / match1.3
0.8Goals conceded / match1.5
6.1Corners for / match5.8
7.3Corners against / match6.5
10.3Shots / match12.9
4.8Shots on target / match4.3
11.9Fouls committed / match12.3
1.3Yellow cards / match2.4
4Clean sheets2
40%BTTS rate60%

Home / Away Form Split

Al Ittihad (home)Recent form (last 8/4)Al Taawoun (away)
5-0-3Record (W-D-L)0-1-3
1.5Goals scored / match0.5
1Goals conceded / match1.5
4.5Corners for / match5.8
7.9Corners against / match8
9.1Shots / match14.5
5.3Shots on target / match4.3
13.1Fouls committed / match11.8
1.8Yellow cards / match3.3
3Clean sheets1
40%BTTS rate50%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Al Ittihad wins

1

Draws

0

Al Taawoun wins

0

Avg total goals

3

BTTS rate

100%

Key Player Impact

  • S. Kim (FW, Al Taawoun)
  • F. Kim (MF, Al Ittihad)
  • A. Suzuki (FW, Al Ittihad)
  • M. Garcia (MF, Al Taawoun)
  • A. Diallo (MF, Al Taawoun)
  • M. Suzuki (MF, Al Ittihad)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • F. CostaAnkle knock
  • H. MullerSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

117

Avg yellow cards

4.1

Avg red cards

0.12

Avg fouls/match

21.3

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: 2.29+2.3% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.52 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: 1.72

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.52.

bttsHigh risk
Yes48%
52%
Bookmaker odds: 1.92

Al Ittihad scores in 80% of comparable matchups and Al Taawoun in 61%, blended with a 100% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 12.547%
53%
Bookmaker odds:

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 12.8, just below the 12.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Al Ittihad Over 5.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

Al Ittihad wins 6.1 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.5.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 22.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

Al Ittihad (10.3/match) and Al Taawoun (12.9/match) combine for a projected 23.2 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Projected combined shots on target of 9.1 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 23.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

Combined foul rate of 24.2 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 3.557%
57%
Bookmaker odds:

Team card rates project 4.3 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds:

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
F. Kim Over 2.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

F. Kim averages 3.1 shots per match over the last 4 appearances.

player_shotsMedium risk
S. Kim Over 1.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

S. Kim averages 1.5 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_foulsMedium risk
F. Kim Over 0.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

F. Kim commits 1.4 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
S. Kim Over 0.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

S. Kim commits 0.5 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskMedium risk
F. Kim booked63%
63%
Bookmaker odds:

F. Kim has been booked in 100% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
S. Kim booked18%
81%
Bookmaker odds:

S. Kim has been booked in 20% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, BetEdge, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.