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AFC Champions League · Knockout round

Urawa Reds vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: Wed 1 Jul, 19:00

Venue: Urawa Reds Stadium, AFC Champions League

Weather/stadium note: Overcast, 15°C

Referee: Ismail Elfath (United States)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Urawa Reds

39%

60%

Draw

23%

76%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

38%

62%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Urawa Reds at 39% confidence.

AI explanation: Urawa Reds to win: Urawa Reds averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded recently (home boost applied); Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors averages 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Urawa RedsRecent form (last 8/8)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
0-3-5Record (W-D-L)3-2-3
0.9Goals scored / match1.5
2.3Goals conceded / match1.8
7.1Corners for / match7.3
6.6Corners against / match5.8
14.9Shots / match12.8
4.5Shots on target / match6.9
12.4Fouls committed / match11.1
3.1Yellow cards / match2.4
1Clean sheets2
50%BTTS rate50%

Home / Away Form Split

Urawa Reds (home)Recent form (last 7/6)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (away)
2-2-3Record (W-D-L)1-1-4
1.4Goals scored / match0.7
1.9Goals conceded / match2.3
7.1Corners for / match7.8
6.9Corners against / match5.8
12Shots / match11.5
4.4Shots on target / match6.2
14.3Fouls committed / match12.3
3.1Yellow cards / match1.8
1Clean sheets1
60%BTTS rate50%

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings recorded in the dataset.

Key Player Impact

  • K. Muller (FW, Urawa Reds)
  • K. Muller (FW, Jeonbuk Hyundai)
  • P. Lopez (MF, Jeonbuk Hyundai)
  • H. Kim (MF, Jeonbuk Hyundai)
  • S. Almeida (MF, Urawa Reds)
  • T. Muller (MF, Jeonbuk Hyundai)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • A. HaidaraAnkle knock
  • B. OwusuAnkle knock
  • O. RossiAnkle knock
  • D. SilvaAnkle knock
  • M. TanakaAnkle knock

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

100

Avg yellow cards

5.1

Avg red cards

0.08

Avg fouls/match

19.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 565%
64%
Bookmaker odds: 1.39

Combined expected goals of 3.36 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 535%
64%
Bookmaker odds: 2.40

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.36.

bttsMedium risk
Yes66%
66%
Bookmaker odds: 1.45

Urawa Reds scores in 82% of comparable matchups and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors in 81%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersMedium risk
Over 12.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.4, just above the 12.5 line.

team_cornersMedium risk
Urawa Reds Over 5.560%
60%
Bookmaker odds:

Urawa Reds wins 7.1 corners per match on average against teams conceding 5.8.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 27.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

Urawa Reds (14.9/match) and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (12.8/match) combine for a projected 27.7 shots.

shots_on_targetMedium risk
Over 10.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Projected combined shots on target of 11.4 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsMedium risk
Over 23.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

Combined foul rate of 23.5 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 7.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds:

Team card rates project 8.0 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 5.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds:

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
K. Muller Over 2.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller averages 3.2 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
K. Muller Over 2.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller averages 3.3 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
K. Muller Over 0.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller commits 1.2 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
K. Muller Over 0.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller commits 1.2 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
K. Muller booked15%
83%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller has been booked in 17% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
K. Muller booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Muller has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, BetEdge, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.