Egyptian Premier League · 🇪🇬 Egypt · League matchday
Al Ahly vs Ismaily
Kickoff: Wed 1 Jul, 19:00
Venue: Al Ahly Stadium, CAF Champions League
Weather/stadium note: Clear skies, 21°C
Referee: Ko Hyung-jin (South Korea)
Win / Draw / Loss Probability
Al Ahly
26%
Draw
26%
Ismaily
48%
AI explanation: Ismaily to win: Al Ahly averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded recently (home boost applied); Ismaily averages 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded away from home; head-to-head history (2 matches) was blended in.
Team Comparison — Recent Form
Home / Away Form Split
Head-to-Head
Matches played
2
Al Ahly wins
1
Draws
0
Ismaily wins
1
Avg total goals
2.5
BTTS rate
0%
Key Player Impact
- K. Hassan (FW, Al Ahly)
- S. Haidara (FW, Ismaily)
- S. Owusu (MF, Al Ahly)
- F. Garcia (MF, Ismaily)
- K. Tanaka (MF, Ismaily)
- M. Suzuki (MF, Al Ahly)
Injuries / Suspensions
- M. JohnsonAnkle knock
- K. DialloSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
Referee Tendency
Matches officiated
112
Avg yellow cards
4.8
Avg red cards
0.19
Avg fouls/match
20.8
Side Market Predictions
Combined expected goals of 2.46 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.
Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.46.
Al Ahly scores in 63% of comparable matchups and Ismaily in 77%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.
Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.9, just below the 13.5 line.
Al Ahly wins 7.6 corners per match on average against teams conceding 7.1.
Al Ahly (10.6/match) and Ismaily (12.3/match) combine for a projected 22.9 shots.
Projected combined shots on target of 8.6 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.
Combined foul rate of 26.2 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.
Team card rates project 6.4 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.8 cards/match.
Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.
K. Hassan averages 3.7 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.
S. Haidara averages 2.7 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.
K. Hassan commits 1.5 fouls per match on average.
S. Haidara commits 0.8 fouls per match on average.
K. Hassan has been booked in 20% of recent appearances.
S. Haidara has been booked in 20% of recent appearances.
Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, PunterPro, BetEdge) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.