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Nigeria Premier Football League · 🇳🇬 Nigeria · League matchday

Enyimba vs Bendel Insurance

Kickoff: Sun 5 Jul, 20:00

Venue: Enyimba Stadium, CAF Champions League

Weather/stadium note: Windy, 12°C

Referee: Victor Gomes (South Africa)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Enyimba

27%

72%

Draw

26%

73%

Bendel Insurance

47%

53%
High riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Bendel Insurance at 47% confidence.

AI explanation: Bendel Insurance to win: Enyimba averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded recently (home boost applied); Bendel Insurance averages 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

EnyimbaRecent form (last 8/8)Bendel Insurance
2-3-3Record (W-D-L)3-5-0
1Goals scored / match1.6
1.6Goals conceded / match0.8
6.3Corners for / match8.1
6Corners against / match6.8
13.8Shots / match12.6
6.4Shots on target / match5.5
13.5Fouls committed / match12.4
2.1Yellow cards / match1.1
1Clean sheets4
60%BTTS rate50%

Home / Away Form Split

Enyimba (home)Recent form (last 8/3)Bendel Insurance (away)
3-3-2Record (W-D-L)2-1-0
1.3Goals scored / match2
0.8Goals conceded / match0.7
7.1Corners for / match6.7
4.9Corners against / match4.3
12.8Shots / match9.7
7Shots on target / match5.3
11.9Fouls committed / match16
1.5Yellow cards / match1
4Clean sheets1
40%BTTS rate70%

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings recorded in the dataset.

Key Player Impact

  • K. Almeida (FW, Bendel Insurance)
  • T. Costa (FW, Enyimba)
  • A. Kim (FW, Bendel Insurance)
  • B. Silva (FW, Enyimba)
  • S. Almeida (MF, Bendel Insurance)
  • P. Park (MF, Bendel Insurance)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • T. AlmeidaKnee injury (assessment pending)
  • M. NakamuraSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

125

Avg yellow cards

4.1

Avg red cards

0.2

Avg fouls/match

23.7

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: 1.98

Combined expected goals of 2.61 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: 1.74

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.61.

bttsHigh risk
Yes52%
52%
Bookmaker odds: 1.95+0.6% edge

Enyimba scores in 66% of comparable matchups and Bendel Insurance in 78%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersMedium risk
Over 13.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.6, just below the 13.5 line.

team_cornersMedium risk
Enyimba Over 6.540%
60%
Bookmaker odds:

Enyimba wins 6.3 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.8.

total_shotsMedium risk
Over 25.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Enyimba (13.8/match) and Bendel Insurance (12.6/match) combine for a projected 26.4 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 11.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Projected combined shots on target of 11.9 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 25.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Combined foul rate of 25.9 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 3.544%
55%
Bookmaker odds:

Team card rates project 3.7 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds:

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
T. Costa Over 1.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

T. Costa averages 2.2 shots per match over the last 8 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
K. Almeida Over 2.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Almeida averages 2.7 shots per match over the last 4 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
T. Costa Over 0.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

T. Costa commits 0.9 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
K. Almeida Over 0.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Almeida commits 0.8 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
T. Costa booked12%
87%
Bookmaker odds:

T. Costa has been booked in 13% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
K. Almeida booked71%
70%
Bookmaker odds:

K. Almeida has been booked in 75% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (BetEdge, PunterPro, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.