Africa Cup of Nations · Group stage
Ivory Coast vs Ghana
Kickoff: Fri 10 Jul, 17:00
Venue: Ivory Coast Stadium, Africa Cup of Nations
Weather/stadium note: Overcast, 15°C
Referee: Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Win / Draw / Loss Probability
Ivory Coast
34%
Draw
22%
Ghana
44%
AI explanation: Ghana to win: Ivory Coast averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded recently (home boost applied); Ghana averages 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home.
Team Comparison — Recent Form
Home / Away Form Split
Head-to-Head
Matches played
1
Ivory Coast wins
0
Draws
0
Ghana wins
1
Avg total goals
6
BTTS rate
100%
Key Player Impact
- Y. Park (FW, Ghana)
- O. Garcia (FW, Ivory Coast)
- B. Diallo (FW, Ivory Coast)
- B. Fernandez (MF, Ivory Coast)
- K. Owusu (FW, Ivory Coast)
- K. Muller (MF, Ghana)
Injuries / Suspensions
- D. RossiMuscle fatigue
Referee Tendency
Matches officiated
159
Avg yellow cards
4.6
Avg red cards
0.16
Avg fouls/match
26.4
Side Market Predictions
Combined expected goals of 3.61 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.
Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.61.
Ivory Coast scores in 81% of comparable matchups and Ghana in 85%, blended with a 100% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.
Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 12.8, just below the 12.5 line.
Ivory Coast wins 5.6 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.8.
Ivory Coast (13.4/match) and Ghana (13.3/match) combine for a projected 26.7 shots.
Projected combined shots on target of 9.9 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.
Combined foul rate of 22.7 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.
Team card rates project 6.8 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.6 cards/match.
Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.
O. Garcia averages 3.6 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.
Y. Park averages 2.9 shots per match over the last 8 appearances.
O. Garcia commits 1.6 fouls per match on average.
Y. Park commits 2.2 fouls per match on average.
O. Garcia has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.
Y. Park has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.
Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (BetEdge, PunterPro, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.