Africa Cup of Nations · Group stage
Senegal vs Egypt
Kickoff: Sat 27 Jun, 12:00
Venue: Senegal Stadium, Africa Cup of Nations
Weather/stadium note: Light rain, 17°C, wind 14km/h
Referee: Victor Gomes (South Africa)
Win / Draw / Loss Probability
Senegal
53%
Draw
22%
Egypt
25%
AI explanation: Senegal to win: Senegal averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded recently (home boost applied); Egypt averages 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded away from home.
Team Comparison — Recent Form
Home / Away Form Split
Head-to-Head
No recent head-to-head meetings recorded in the dataset.
Key Player Impact
- C. Hassan (FW, Senegal)
- O. Silva (FW, Senegal)
- C. Haidara (MF, Senegal)
- M. Almeida (MF, Egypt)
- M. Haidara (MF, Egypt)
- S. Rossi (MF, Senegal)
Injuries / Suspensions
- K. HassanKnee injury (assessment pending)
- T. FernandezAnkle knock
Referee Tendency
Matches officiated
125
Avg yellow cards
4.1
Avg red cards
0.2
Avg fouls/match
23.7
Side Market Predictions
Combined expected goals of 3.21 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.
Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.21.
Senegal scores in 86% of comparable matchups and Egypt in 72%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.
Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.3, just above the 12.5 line.
Senegal wins 6.3 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.3.
Senegal (12.1/match) and Egypt (12.7/match) combine for a projected 24.8 shots.
Projected combined shots on target of 10.5 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.
Combined foul rate of 23.1 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.
Team card rates project 5.7 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.1 cards/match.
Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.
C. Hassan averages 3.7 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.
M. Almeida averages 2.8 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.
C. Hassan commits 1.9 fouls per match on average.
M. Almeida commits 1.9 fouls per match on average.
C. Hassan has been booked in 60% of recent appearances.
M. Almeida has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.
Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.