Conference League · Knockout round
Lille vs Real Betis
Kickoff: Thu 9 Jul, 12:00
Venue: Lille Stadium, France
Weather/stadium note: Warm, 27°C, humid
Referee: Wilton Sampaio (Brazil)
Win / Draw / Loss Probability
Lille
48%
Draw
23%
Real Betis
29%
AI explanation: Lille to win: Lille averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded recently (home boost applied); Real Betis averages 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home.
Team Comparison — Recent Form
Home / Away Form Split
Head-to-Head
No recent head-to-head meetings recorded in the dataset.
Key Player Impact
- M. Owusu (FW, Real Betis)
- M. Fernandez (FW, Real Betis)
- L. Haidara (FW, Lille)
- C. Costa (FW, Lille)
- O. Park (FW, Real Betis)
- M. Lopez (MF, Lille)
Injuries / Suspensions
- M. DuboisAnkle knock
- K. LopezAnkle knock
- T. NakamuraSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
- M. LopezHamstring strain
Referee Tendency
Matches officiated
96
Avg yellow cards
4.4
Avg red cards
0.08
Avg fouls/match
24.5
Side Market Predictions
Combined expected goals of 3.27 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.
Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.27.
Lille scores in 84% of comparable matchups and Real Betis in 76%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.
Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 14.7, just below the 14.5 line.
Lille wins 8.8 corners per match on average against teams conceding 5.6.
Lille (14.3/match) and Real Betis (8.4/match) combine for a projected 22.7 shots.
Projected combined shots on target of 10.7 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.
Combined foul rate of 24.9 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.
Team card rates project 7.3 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.4 cards/match.
Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.
L. Haidara averages 3.1 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.
M. Owusu averages 2.3 shots per match over the last 3 appearances.
L. Haidara commits 1.2 fouls per match on average.
M. Owusu commits 1.0 fouls per match on average.
L. Haidara has been booked in 60% of recent appearances.
M. Owusu has been booked in 100% of recent appearances.
Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, OddsHub, BetEdge) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.