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La Liga · 🇪🇸 Spain · League matchday

Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis

Kickoff: Thu 9 Jul, 12:00

Venue: Atletico Madrid Stadium, Spain

Weather/stadium note: Clear skies, 21°C

Referee: Ismail Elfath (United States)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Atletico Madrid

25%

74%

Draw

21%

78%

Real Betis

53%

53%
High riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Real Betis at 53% confidence.

AI explanation: Real Betis to win: Atletico Madrid averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded recently (home boost applied); Real Betis averages 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Atletico MadridRecent form (last 7/8)Real Betis
1-1-5Record (W-D-L)5-3-0
1Goals scored / match1.9
2.1Goals conceded / match0.9
7.6Corners for / match8.3
4.9Corners against / match5.6
12.3Shots / match8.4
4.7Shots on target / match5.9
12.6Fouls committed / match11.8
2.6Yellow cards / match2.8
1Clean sheets3
60%BTTS rate60%

Home / Away Form Split

Atletico Madrid (home)Recent form (last 3/3)Real Betis (away)
1-0-2Record (W-D-L)2-0-1
1Goals scored / match2.3
2Goals conceded / match2.3
7.3Corners for / match7.7
4.3Corners against / match3.3
11.7Shots / match11
4Shots on target / match6.3
11.3Fouls committed / match12
1.3Yellow cards / match2.3
1Clean sheets0
70%BTTS rate100%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Atletico Madrid wins

0

Draws

1

Real Betis wins

0

Avg total goals

6

BTTS rate

100%

Key Player Impact

  • F. Costa (FW, Atletico Madrid)
  • M. Owusu (FW, Real Betis)
  • M. Fernandez (FW, Real Betis)
  • O. Park (FW, Real Betis)
  • K. Mensah (MF, Real Betis)
  • M. Mensah (MF, Real Betis)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • M. HaidaraMuscle fatigue
  • L. HaidaraMuscle fatigue
  • M. DuboisAnkle knock
  • K. LopezAnkle knock

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

100

Avg yellow cards

5.1

Avg red cards

0.08

Avg fouls/match

19.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 566%
66%
Bookmaker odds: 1.61+4.1% edge

Combined expected goals of 3.44 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 534%
66%
Bookmaker odds: 3.65+6.4% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.44.

bttsMedium risk
Yes65%
65%
Bookmaker odds: 1.36

Atletico Madrid scores in 75% of comparable matchups and Real Betis in 87%, blended with a 100% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 12.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.2, just above the 12.5 line.

team_cornersMedium risk
Atletico Madrid Over 6.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Atletico Madrid wins 7.6 corners per match on average against teams conceding 5.6.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 20.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Atletico Madrid (12.3/match) and Real Betis (8.4/match) combine for a projected 20.7 shots.

shots_on_targetMedium risk
Over 10.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 10.6 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsMedium risk
Over 23.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 24.4 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 7.547%
53%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 7.9 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 5.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsMedium risk
F. Costa Over 1.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

F. Costa averages 1.5 shots per match over the last 4 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
M. Owusu Over 1.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Owusu averages 2.3 shots per match over the last 3 appearances.

player_foulsMedium risk
F. Costa Over 1.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

F. Costa commits 2.4 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
M. Owusu Over 0.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Owusu commits 1.0 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskMedium risk
F. Costa booked63%
63%
Bookmaker odds: —

F. Costa has been booked in 100% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
M. Owusu booked63%
63%
Bookmaker odds: —

M. Owusu has been booked in 100% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, BetEdge, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.