← Back to matches

Ligue Haitienne · 🇭🇹 Haiti · League matchday

Racing Club Haitien vs Arcahaie FC

Kickoff: Sat 27 Jun, 15:00

Venue: Racing Club Haitien Stadium, Caribbean Club Championship

Weather/stadium note: Overcast, 15°C

Referee: Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Racing Club Haitien

36%

64%

Draw

29%

70%

Arcahaie FC

36%

64%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Racing Club Haitien at 36% confidence.

AI explanation: Racing Club Haitien to win: Racing Club Haitien averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded recently (home boost applied); Arcahaie FC averages 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Racing Club HaitienRecent form (last 5/4)Arcahaie FC
1-3-1Record (W-D-L)2-1-1
1.4Goals scored / match0.8
1.8Goals conceded / match0.5
4.6Corners for / match6.3
6.8Corners against / match6
11.4Shots / match10
5.2Shots on target / match5.3
14Fouls committed / match12
3.6Yellow cards / match3.5
1Clean sheets2
60%BTTS rate30%

Home / Away Form Split

Racing Club Haitien (home)Recent form (last 3/1)Arcahaie FC (away)
1-1-1Record (W-D-L)0-0-1
1Goals scored / match0
1.7Goals conceded / match1
5.7Corners for / match3
7.3Corners against / match8
10.7Shots / match13
4Shots on target / match8
14Fouls committed / match17
3.7Yellow cards / match4
1Clean sheets0
30%BTTS rate0%

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings recorded in the dataset.

Key Player Impact

  • D. Fernandez (MF, Racing Club)
  • M. Rossi (MF, Racing Club)
  • P. Haidara (FW, Racing Club)
  • M. Haidara (FW, Arcahaie FC)
  • B. Mensah (MF, Racing Club)
  • M. Haidara (MF, Arcahaie FC)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • K. GarciaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

159

Avg yellow cards

4.6

Avg red cards

0.16

Avg fouls/match

26.4

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: 3.34+8.8% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.24 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 561%
61%
Bookmaker odds: 1.48

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.24.

bttsHigh risk
Yes45%
54%
Bookmaker odds: 2.34+2.6% edge

Racing Club Haitien scores in 67% of comparable matchups and Arcahaie FC in 67%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 11.547%
53%
Bookmaker odds:

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 11.8, just below the 11.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Racing Club Haitien Over 4.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

Racing Club Haitien wins 4.6 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.0.

total_shotsMedium risk
Over 20.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Racing Club Haitien (11.4/match) and Arcahaie FC (10.0/match) combine for a projected 21.4 shots.

shots_on_targetMedium risk
Over 10.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

Projected combined shots on target of 10.5 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 25.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds:

Combined foul rate of 26.0 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 8.557%
57%
Bookmaker odds:

Team card rates project 9.3 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.6 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds:

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
D. Fernandez Over 2.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

D. Fernandez averages 3.3 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
M. Haidara Over 1.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Haidara averages 2.0 shots per match over the last 4 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
D. Fernandez Over 0.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

D. Fernandez commits 1.1 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
M. Haidara Over 0.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Haidara commits 0.5 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskHigh risk
D. Fernandez booked49%
51%
Bookmaker odds:

D. Fernandez has been booked in 67% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
M. Haidara booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Haidara has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, BetEdge, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.