← Back to matches

Trinidad and Tobago Premier Football League · 🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago · League matchday

Defence Force vs Police FC

Kickoff: Mon 29 Jun, 15:00

Venue: Defence Force Stadium, CONCACAF Champions Cup

Weather/stadium note: Warm, 27°C, humid

Referee: Walter Lopez (Guatemala)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Defence Force

46%

54%

Draw

22%

77%

Police FC

32%

67%
High riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Defence Force at 46% confidence.

AI explanation: Defence Force to win: Defence Force averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded recently (home boost applied); Police FC averages 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home; head-to-head history (2 matches) was blended in.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Defence ForceRecent form (last 8/5)Police FC
2-2-4Record (W-D-L)1-1-3
1.1Goals scored / match1
1.6Goals conceded / match1.6
5.6Corners for / match8.8
5.9Corners against / match7.4
12.3Shots / match14
4.8Shots on target / match4.4
12.5Fouls committed / match12.6
1.9Yellow cards / match3.4
1Clean sheets1
60%BTTS rate40%

Home / Away Form Split

Defence Force (home)Recent form (last 8/3)Police FC (away)
3-2-3Record (W-D-L)0-0-3
1.3Goals scored / match0.7
1.4Goals conceded / match2
6.3Corners for / match9.3
6.9Corners against / match5
11.1Shots / match14.3
5.4Shots on target / match5.3
12.3Fouls committed / match16.3
2.8Yellow cards / match4.7
2Clean sheets0
50%BTTS rate30%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

2

Defence Force wins

1

Draws

0

Police FC wins

1

Avg total goals

5.5

BTTS rate

100%

Key Player Impact

  • K. Owusu (FW, Defence Force)
  • K. Owusu (FW, Police FC)
  • S. Dubois (MF, Police FC)
  • K. Silva (MF, Defence Force)
  • D. Rossi (MF, Defence Force)
  • M. Lopez (FW, Police FC)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • Y. FernandezSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • H. LopezSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

117

Avg yellow cards

4.1

Avg red cards

0.12

Avg fouls/match

21.3

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 568%
67%
Bookmaker odds: 1.38

Combined expected goals of 3.53 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 532%
67%
Bookmaker odds: 2.80

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.53.

bttsLow risk
Yes78%
77%
Bookmaker odds: 1.18

Defence Force scores in 86% of comparable matchups and Police FC in 80%, blended with a 100% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 13.547%
53%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.9, just below the 13.5 line.

team_cornersMedium risk
Defence Force Over 6.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

Defence Force wins 5.6 corners per match on average against teams conceding 7.4.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 25.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Defence Force (12.3/match) and Police FC (14.0/match) combine for a projected 26.3 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 9.2 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 24.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 25.1 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 5.555%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 6.2 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsMedium risk
K. Owusu Over 0.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu averages 0.6 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_shotsMedium risk
K. Owusu Over 1.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu averages 2.4 shots per match over the last 4 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
K. Owusu Over 1.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu commits 2.3 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
K. Owusu Over 1.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu commits 1.9 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
K. Owusu booked18%
81%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu has been booked in 20% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
K. Owusu booked39%
60%
Bookmaker odds: —

K. Owusu has been booked in 50% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, BetEdge) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.