← Back to matches

Caribbean Club Championship · Knockout round

Violette AC vs Waterhouse FC

Kickoff: Fri 3 Jul, 19:00

Venue: Violette AC Stadium, Caribbean Club Championship

Weather/stadium note: Clear skies, 21°C

Referee: Facundo Tello (Argentina)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Violette AC

52%

52%

Draw

22%

77%

Waterhouse FC

26%

73%
High riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Violette AC at 52% confidence.

AI explanation: Violette AC to win: Violette AC averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded recently (home boost applied); Waterhouse FC averages 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Violette ACRecent form (last 8/8)Waterhouse FC
3-2-3Record (W-D-L)4-2-2
2Goals scored / match1.6
1.4Goals conceded / match1.4
6.8Corners for / match8.1
8Corners against / match6.3
11.9Shots / match11.9
5.3Shots on target / match5.6
13.5Fouls committed / match13.8
1.9Yellow cards / match2.6
3Clean sheets3
30%BTTS rate40%

Home / Away Form Split

Violette AC (home)Recent form (last 5/4)Waterhouse FC (away)
3-0-2Record (W-D-L)2-0-2
2.2Goals scored / match1.5
0.8Goals conceded / match2
4.8Corners for / match7.3
6.4Corners against / match6.5
12.2Shots / match9.8
5.2Shots on target / match4.3
13.6Fouls committed / match14.3
2.2Yellow cards / match1.5
3Clean sheets1
0%BTTS rate30%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Violette AC wins

1

Draws

0

Waterhouse FC wins

0

Avg total goals

5

BTTS rate

0%

Key Player Impact

  • M. Hassan (FW, Waterhouse FC)
  • M. Muller (FW, Violette AC)
  • M. Mensah (FW, Violette AC)
  • M. Owusu (MF, Waterhouse FC)
  • A. Garcia (MF, Violette AC)
  • T. Rossi (MF, Waterhouse FC)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • H. LopezHamstring strain
  • F. SilvaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • A. OwusuAnkle knock

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

158

Avg yellow cards

3.2

Avg red cards

0.11

Avg fouls/match

19.7

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 565%
64%
Bookmaker odds: 1.74+7.5% edge

Combined expected goals of 3.37 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 535%
64%
Bookmaker odds: 3.33+5.0% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.37.

bttsMedium risk
Yes64%
64%
Bookmaker odds: 1.41

Violette AC scores in 87% of comparable matchups and Waterhouse FC in 74%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersMedium risk
Over 14.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 14.6, just below the 14.5 line.

team_cornersMedium risk
Violette AC Over 6.540%
60%
Bookmaker odds:

Violette AC wins 6.8 corners per match on average against teams conceding 6.3.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 23.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

Violette AC (11.9/match) and Waterhouse FC (11.9/match) combine for a projected 23.8 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 10.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Projected combined shots on target of 10.9 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 26.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds:

Combined foul rate of 27.3 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 3.553%
52%
Bookmaker odds:

Team card rates project 4.1 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 3.2 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes8%
90%
Bookmaker odds:

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsMedium risk
M. Muller Over 1.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Muller averages 1.5 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
M. Hassan Over 2.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Hassan averages 3.0 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
M. Muller Over 0.554%
54%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Muller commits 1.2 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
M. Hassan Over 0.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Hassan commits 1.4 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskMedium risk
M. Muller booked33%
66%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Muller has been booked in 40% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk
M. Hassan booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds:

M. Hassan has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, BetEdge, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.