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Jamaica Premier League · 🇯🇲 Jamaica · League matchday

Cavalier FC vs Mount Pleasant FA

Kickoff: Mon 29 Jun, 15:00

Venue: Cavalier FC Stadium, CONCACAF Champions Cup

Weather/stadium note: Light rain, 17°C, wind 14km/h

Referee: Abdulrahman Al-Jassim (Qatar)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Cavalier FC

47%

53%

Draw

21%

78%

Mount Pleasant FA

31%

68%
High riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Cavalier FC at 47% confidence.

AI explanation: Cavalier FC to win: Cavalier FC averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded recently (home boost applied); Mount Pleasant FA averages 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded away from home; head-to-head history (2 matches) was blended in.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Cavalier FCRecent form (last 8/4)Mount Pleasant FA
2-2-4Record (W-D-L)1-0-3
1.4Goals scored / match1.3
1.9Goals conceded / match2.3
6.4Corners for / match10
9.4Corners against / match8.3
12.9Shots / match13
4.1Shots on target / match5
11.1Fouls committed / match9.5
2.1Yellow cards / match2.5
1Clean sheets0
60%BTTS rate80%

Home / Away Form Split

Cavalier FC (home)Recent form (last 8/3)Mount Pleasant FA (away)
4-1-3Record (W-D-L)1-0-2
1.6Goals scored / match1.3
1.5Goals conceded / match2.3
5.9Corners for / match9.7
8.3Corners against / match10
12Shots / match12.3
4.1Shots on target / match4.3
11Fouls committed / match9
2.3Yellow cards / match2
3Clean sheets0
50%BTTS rate70%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

2

Cavalier FC wins

1

Draws

0

Mount Pleasant FA wins

1

Avg total goals

4

BTTS rate

100%

Key Player Impact

  • T. Mensah (FW, Mount Pleasant)
  • Y. Suzuki (MF, Cavalier FC)
  • M. Almeida (MF, Cavalier FC)
  • F. Suzuki (MF, Cavalier FC)
  • A. Suzuki (MF, Mount Pleasant)
  • S. Silva (MF, Mount Pleasant)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • L. RossiSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • B. KimSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • S. GarciaHamstring strain
  • H. AlmeidaMuscle fatigue
  • A. HaidaraMuscle fatigue

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

170

Avg yellow cards

4.2

Avg red cards

0.13

Avg fouls/match

20.9

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 571%
70%
Bookmaker odds: 1.59+8.0% edge

Combined expected goals of 3.71 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 529%
70%
Bookmaker odds: 4.16+5.1% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 3.71.

bttsLow risk
Yes79%
78%
Bookmaker odds: 1.35+5.2% edge

Cavalier FC scores in 87% of comparable matchups and Mount Pleasant FA in 81%, blended with a 100% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 16.551%
51%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 17.1, just above the 16.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Cavalier FC Over 6.558%
57%
Bookmaker odds: —

Cavalier FC wins 6.4 corners per match on average against teams conceding 8.3.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 25.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Cavalier FC (12.9/match) and Mount Pleasant FA (13.0/match) combine for a projected 25.9 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 9.1 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsMedium risk
Over 20.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 20.6 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsMedium risk
Over 5.539%
60%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 5.5 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.2 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsMedium risk
Y. Suzuki Over 1.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

Y. Suzuki averages 1.5 shots per match over the last 5 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
T. Mensah Over 2.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

T. Mensah averages 3.1 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_foulsMedium risk
Y. Suzuki Over 1.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Y. Suzuki commits 1.6 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
T. Mensah Over 1.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

T. Mensah commits 2.1 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskLow risk
Y. Suzuki booked3%
95%
Bookmaker odds: —

Y. Suzuki has been booked in 0% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
T. Mensah booked39%
60%
Bookmaker odds: —

T. Mensah has been booked in 50% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (PunterPro, BetEdge, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.