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Colombia Categoria Primera A · 🇨🇴 Colombia · League matchday

Junior vs Deportivo Cali

Kickoff: Mon 6 Jul, 15:00

Venue: Junior Stadium, Colombia

Weather/stadium note: Overcast, 15°C

Referee: Victor Gomes (South Africa)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Junior

46%

54%

Draw

24%

75%

Deportivo Cali

30%

69%
High riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Junior at 46% confidence.

AI explanation: Junior to win: Junior averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded recently (home boost applied); Deportivo Cali averages 1.1 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

JuniorRecent form (last 7/8)Deportivo Cali
0-4-3Record (W-D-L)2-1-5
0.9Goals scored / match1.4
1.7Goals conceded / match2
5.7Corners for / match6.5
9.6Corners against / match7.6
11.3Shots / match11.6
3.9Shots on target / match4.9
13Fouls committed / match11.8
3.7Yellow cards / match1.6
2Clean sheets1
40%BTTS rate60%

Home / Away Form Split

Junior (home)Recent form (last 3/5)Deportivo Cali (away)
0-2-1Record (W-D-L)0-1-4
1Goals scored / match0.6
1.3Goals conceded / match2.2
2.7Corners for / match6.2
10Corners against / match7.8
11Shots / match11.6
3.7Shots on target / match3.6
14.7Fouls committed / match12.8
4Yellow cards / match1.4
1Clean sheets0
70%BTTS rate60%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Junior wins

0

Draws

0

Deportivo Cali wins

1

Avg total goals

3

BTTS rate

0%

Key Player Impact

  • O. Johnson (FW, Junior)
  • P. Suzuki (FW, Deportivo Cali)
  • H. Costa (MF, Junior)
  • T. Diallo (MF, Deportivo Cali)
  • S. Dubois (FW, Deportivo Cali)
  • O. Silva (MF, Deportivo Cali)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • M. RossiAnkle knock
  • L. SilvaKnee injury (assessment pending)
  • B. LopezMuscle fatigue
  • A. NakamuraMuscle fatigue

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

125

Avg yellow cards

4.1

Avg red cards

0.2

Avg fouls/match

23.7

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 557%
57%
Bookmaker odds: 1.77+0.3% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.97 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 543%
57%
Bookmaker odds: 2.25

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.97.

bttsMedium risk
Yes59%
59%
Bookmaker odds: 1.58

Junior scores in 81% of comparable matchups and Deportivo Cali in 73%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 14.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 14.7, just below the 14.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Junior Over 6.542%
57%
Bookmaker odds: —

Junior wins 5.7 corners per match on average against teams conceding 7.6.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 22.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Junior (11.3/match) and Deportivo Cali (11.6/match) combine for a projected 22.9 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 8.8 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 24.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 24.8 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 5.555%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 6.2 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
O. Johnson Over 1.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

O. Johnson averages 2.0 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
P. Suzuki Over 2.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Suzuki averages 3.1 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
O. Johnson Over 1.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

O. Johnson commits 1.9 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
P. Suzuki Over 0.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Suzuki commits 1.4 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskHigh risk
O. Johnson booked54%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

O. Johnson has been booked in 29% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
P. Suzuki booked35%
65%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Suzuki has been booked in 43% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, BetEdge, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.