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Chile Primera Division · 🇨🇱 Chile · League matchday

Cobresal vs Colo-Colo

Kickoff: Wed 8 Jul, 12:00

Venue: Cobresal Stadium, Chile

Weather/stadium note: Light rain, 17°C, wind 14km/h

Referee: Wilton Sampaio (Brazil)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Cobresal

62%

61%

Draw

21%

78%

Colo-Colo

17%

82%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 3+ total goals. Model lean: Cobresal at 62% confidence.

AI explanation: Cobresal to win: Cobresal averages 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded recently (home boost applied); Colo-Colo averages 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

CobresalRecent form (last 5/8)Colo-Colo
2-1-2Record (W-D-L)4-0-4
1.8Goals scored / match1.1
0.8Goals conceded / match1.4
5.8Corners for / match5.8
7.2Corners against / match9.9
12.2Shots / match12.5
4Shots on target / match4.3
10.4Fouls committed / match12.4
1.6Yellow cards / match2.6
3Clean sheets1
20%BTTS rate60%

Home / Away Form Split

Cobresal (home)Recent form (last 3/5)Colo-Colo (away)
2-0-1Record (W-D-L)2-0-3
3Goals scored / match1.2
0.7Goals conceded / match1.6
5Corners for / match5.4
8Corners against / match10.6
10.3Shots / match13.2
5Shots on target / match4.2
8.7Fouls committed / match12.2
1.7Yellow cards / match2.8
2Clean sheets0
30%BTTS rate80%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Cobresal wins

0

Draws

0

Colo-Colo wins

1

Avg total goals

3

BTTS rate

100%

Key Player Impact

  • P. Nakamura (FW, Colo-Colo)
  • D. Costa (FW, Colo-Colo)
  • C. Haidara (FW, Cobresal)
  • P. Fernandez (MF, Cobresal)
  • H. Diallo (MF, Cobresal)
  • M. Costa (MF, Cobresal)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • S. RossiMuscle fatigue
  • M. NakamuraSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • Y. OwusuHamstring strain

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

96

Avg yellow cards

4.4

Avg red cards

0.08

Avg fouls/match

24.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Over 2 557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: 1.85+2.7% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.98 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the over.

over_under_goalsHigh risk
Under 2 543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: 1.92

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.98.

bttsHigh risk
Yes53%
53%
Bookmaker odds: 1.90+0.6% edge

Cobresal scores in 87% of comparable matchups and Colo-Colo in 61%, blended with a 100% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk
Over 13.558%
57%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 14.4, just above the 13.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk
Cobresal Over 7.547%
53%
Bookmaker odds: —

Cobresal wins 5.8 corners per match on average against teams conceding 9.9.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 24.543%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Cobresal (12.2/match) and Colo-Colo (12.5/match) combine for a projected 24.7 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 7.557%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 8.3 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 22.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 22.8 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 4.556%
56%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 5.3 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.4 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes5%
93%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
C. Haidara Over 1.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Haidara averages 2.0 shots per match over the last 3 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
P. Nakamura Over 0.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Nakamura averages 1.1 shots per match over the last 8 appearances.

player_foulsHigh risk
C. Haidara Over 0.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Haidara commits 0.9 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsMedium risk
P. Nakamura Over 1.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Nakamura commits 1.6 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskMedium risk
C. Haidara booked63%
63%
Bookmaker odds: —

C. Haidara has been booked in 100% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
P. Nakamura booked39%
60%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Nakamura has been booked in 50% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, BetEdge, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.