Chile Primera Division · 🇨🇱 Chile · League matchday

Universidad Catolica vs Palestino

Kickoff: Sun 5 Jul, 20:00

Venue: Universidad Catolica Stadium, Chile

Weather/stadium note: Windy, 12°C

Referee: Ismail Elfath (United States)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Universidad Catolica

62%

61%

Draw

23%

76%

Palestino

15%

83%

Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Universidad Catolica at 62% confidence.

AI explanation: Universidad Catolica to win: Universidad Catolica averages 1.9 goals scored and 0.5 conceded recently (home boost applied); Palestino averages 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Universidad CatolicaRecent form (last 4/6)Palestino

3-0-1Record (W-D-L)2-1-3

1.5Goals scored / match1

0.5Goals conceded / match1.3

8Corners for / match9.7

6Corners against / match4.2

12.5Shots / match10.8

4.8Shots on target / match5.3

12.5Fouls committed / match11.8

1.8Yellow cards / match3.2

2Clean sheets1

30%BTTS rate50%

Home / Away Form Split

Universidad Catolica (home)Recent form (last 2/4)Palestino (away)

2-0-0Record (W-D-L)1-1-2

2.5Goals scored / match1

0.5Goals conceded / match1.5

9.5Corners for / match10

8.5Corners against / match4.8

13Shots / match10.3

4.5Shots on target / match6

11Fouls committed / match11.8

1.5Yellow cards / match3

1Clean sheets1

50%BTTS rate50%

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings recorded in the dataset.

Key Player Impact

C. Garcia (FW, Universidad Catolica)
M. Tanaka (FW, Universidad Catolica)
M. Park (MF, Palestino)
K. Tanaka (FW, Palestino)
Y. Suzuki (MF, Universidad Catolica)
Y. Suzuki (FW, Universidad Catolica)

Injuries / Suspensions

C. TanakaHamstring strain
K. MullerSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

100

Avg yellow cards

5.1

Avg red cards

0.08

Avg fouls/match

19.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsHigh risk

Over 2 546%

53%

Bookmaker odds: 2.52+6.7% edge

Combined expected goals of 2.54 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsHigh risk

Under 2 554%

53%

Bookmaker odds: 2.11+6.2% edge

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.54.

bttsHigh risk

Yes44%

56%

Bookmaker odds: 1.96

Universidad Catolica scores in 83% of comparable matchups and Palestino in 53%, blended with a 50% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersHigh risk

Over 13.549%

51%

Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 13.9, just below the 13.5 line.

team_cornersHigh risk

Universidad Catolica Over 5.552%

52%

Bookmaker odds: —

Universidad Catolica wins 8.0 corners per match on average against teams conceding 4.2.

total_shotsHigh risk

Over 22.557%

56%

Bookmaker odds: —

Universidad Catolica (12.5/match) and Palestino (10.8/match) combine for a projected 23.3 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk

Over 9.552%

52%

Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 10.1 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk

Over 23.557%

56%

Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 24.3 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk

Over 6.556%

56%

Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 7.3 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 5.1 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk

Yes5%

93%

Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk

C. Garcia Over 2.550%

50%

Bookmaker odds: —

C. Garcia averages 3.0 shots per match over the last 6 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk

M. Park Over 1.550%

50%

Bookmaker odds: —

M. Park averages 2.0 shots per match over the last 7 appearances.

player_foulsMedium risk

C. Garcia Over 1.559%

59%

Bookmaker odds: —

C. Garcia commits 2.4 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk

M. Park Over 1.550%

50%

Bookmaker odds: —

M. Park commits 2.0 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskHigh risk

C. Garcia booked49%

51%

Bookmaker odds: —

C. Garcia has been booked in 67% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskLow risk

M. Park booked25%

74%

Bookmaker odds: —

M. Park has been booked in 29% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (BetEdge, PunterPro, OddsHub) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.