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Chile Primera Division · 🇨🇱 Chile · League matchday

Colo-Colo vs Union Espanola

Kickoff: Mon 6 Jul, 12:00

Venue: Colo-Colo Stadium, Chile

Weather/stadium note: Overcast, 15°C

Referee: Michael Oliver (England)

Win / Draw / Loss Probability

Colo-Colo

37%

63%

Draw

30%

69%

Union Espanola

34%

66%
Medium riskPredicted score range: 0-2 total goals. Model lean: Colo-Colo at 37% confidence.

AI explanation: Colo-Colo to win: Colo-Colo averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded recently (home boost applied); Union Espanola averages 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home.

Team Comparison — Recent Form

Colo-ColoRecent form (last 8/3)Union Espanola
4-0-4Record (W-D-L)1-1-1
1.1Goals scored / match0.7
1.4Goals conceded / match0.7
5.8Corners for / match6.3
9.9Corners against / match11
12.5Shots / match13.3
4.3Shots on target / match4.7
12.4Fouls committed / match11.7
2.6Yellow cards / match3.7
1Clean sheets1
60%BTTS rate30%

Home / Away Form Split

Colo-Colo (home)Recent form (last 3/2)Union Espanola (away)
2-0-1Record (W-D-L)1-0-1
1Goals scored / match1
1Goals conceded / match1
6.3Corners for / match5
8.7Corners against / match11
11.3Shots / match11
4.3Shots on target / match5
12.7Fouls committed / match10.5
2.3Yellow cards / match3
1Clean sheets0
30%BTTS rate50%

Head-to-Head

Matches played

1

Colo-Colo wins

1

Draws

0

Union Espanola wins

0

Avg total goals

1

BTTS rate

0%

Key Player Impact

  • S. Hassan (FW, Union Espanola)
  • K. Lopez (FW, Union Espanola)
  • P. Nakamura (FW, Colo-Colo)
  • D. Costa (FW, Colo-Colo)
  • H. Haidara (MF, Union Espanola)
  • M. Almeida (MF, Union Espanola)

Injuries / Suspensions

  • S. RossiMuscle fatigue
  • M. NakamuraSuspended: accumulated yellow cards
  • M. SuzukiHamstring strain
  • K. CostaSuspended: accumulated yellow cards

Referee Tendency

Matches officiated

97

Avg yellow cards

4.4

Avg red cards

0.2

Avg fouls/match

22.5

Side Market Predictions

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Over 2 536%
64%
Bookmaker odds: 2.66

Combined expected goals of 2.12 from both teams' recent scoring/conceding rates puts the total goals line at 2.5 in favour of the under.

over_under_goalsMedium risk
Under 2 564%
64%
Bookmaker odds: 1.44

Inverse of the over 2.5 calculation based on combined expected goals of 2.12.

bttsHigh risk
Yes43%
57%
Bookmaker odds: 2.87+7.8% edge

Colo-Colo scores in 66% of comparable matchups and Union Espanola in 64%, blended with a 0% BTTS rate in head-to-head meetings.

total_cornersMedium risk
Over 16.539%
61%
Bookmaker odds: —

Average combined corner count from both teams' recent matches projects to 16.5, just below the 16.5 line.

team_cornersMedium risk
Colo-Colo Over 7.559%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

Colo-Colo wins 5.8 corners per match on average against teams conceding 11.0.

total_shotsHigh risk
Over 25.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

Colo-Colo (12.5/match) and Union Espanola (13.3/match) combine for a projected 25.8 shots.

shots_on_targetHigh risk
Over 8.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

Projected combined shots on target of 9.0 based on recent shot accuracy from both sides.

total_foulsHigh risk
Over 23.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Combined foul rate of 24.1 per match from both teams' recent disciplinary record.

yellow_cardsHigh risk
Over 7.548%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

Team card rates project 7.9 yellow cards, adjusted for a referee averaging 4.4 cards/match.

red_card_chanceLow risk
Yes11%
87%
Bookmaker odds: —

Low-frequency event modelled from each team's red-card rate and the assigned referee's history; red cards remain rare even for high-foul teams.

player_shotsHigh risk
P. Nakamura Over 0.552%
52%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Nakamura averages 1.1 shots per match over the last 8 appearances.

player_shotsHigh risk
S. Hassan Over 2.546%
54%
Bookmaker odds: —

S. Hassan averages 2.8 shots per match over the last 3 appearances.

player_foulsMedium risk
P. Nakamura Over 1.541%
59%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Nakamura commits 1.6 fouls per match on average.

player_foulsHigh risk
S. Hassan Over 1.550%
50%
Bookmaker odds: —

S. Hassan commits 2.0 fouls per match on average.

player_card_riskMedium risk
P. Nakamura booked39%
60%
Bookmaker odds: —

P. Nakamura has been booked in 50% of recent appearances.

player_card_riskMedium risk
S. Hassan booked63%
63%
Bookmaker odds: —

S. Hassan has been booked in 100% of recent appearances.

Bookmaker odds shown are sourced from mock data (OddsHub, BetEdge, PunterPro) for demonstration. Connect a real odds feed via src/lib/api.